One year and three months ago, I finished up what really was a wonderful time serving as Mike McGavick’s New Media Director in spectacularly disappointing fashion. In the days and weeks that followed, I was inordinately frustrated with the terrible analyis of the nationwide 2006 debacle, but too drained by the whole experience to craft any response. I took a break from blogging and politics in general.
Then I got a great opportunity to go overseas, which extended this break longer than I had anticipated. (Finally getting overseas took more time than I had expected, too, but that’s another story.) But now I’m rested, refreshed, and ready to enter the fray once more, to some extent (even if I am in Rio de Janeiro).
But I must say, I feel terrible. By not writing, I removed one of the very few pro-McCain voices from the Puget Sound blogosphere. And now here we are–it’s a day before the Washington caucus, and McCain is the presumptive nominee (as I’ve been fully expecting even when his campaign was pronounced dead), and no one seems to have been ready for it. This is a sad example of when people who don’t read blogs are much more prepared for reality than those who do.
We’ve seen it happen on the Democrat side often enough, and here it’s happened on the Republican side as well. Sound Politics, Hugh Hewitt, NRO and countless others were happily preaching to the choir, while the congregation up and elected their pastor without them. It’s called cocooning, and I blame myself entirely for absenting myself from the conversation. Sorry about that.
But here we are, as I said, the day before the caucus. And a lot of you are going to go out and refuse to vote for McCain. Either because you’ve been listening too closely to Don’s adorable assertion that Huckabee has a chance, or because you just can’t stand the guy, or because you’ve somehow convinced yourself he’s a liberal, you’re going to try to make sure McCain loses the first contest since his coronation.
You could do it, too. I know the people who go to caucuses–I’m one of them, and so are many dear friends. And so I know that the majority of them really, really don’t like McCain. And McCain doesn’t do well in caucuses in general–if he wins tomorrow, it will be his first such victory. Between evangelical Christians (note: I am one), local party activists (note: I am one) and talk radio listeners (note: I occasionally am one, but not while I’m in Brazil), Huckabee could very easily take the caucus. And a lot of you reading this plan to make that happen.
But I’m here to ask–please don’t. And, going along with my pastoral metaphor three paragraphs previous, I’ve got a three-point sermon as to why (eat your heart out, Rev. Huckabee).
Point one–A McCain loss will waste resources
Losing Washington’s caucuses will do nothing to change the basic math behind McCain’s impending victory. What it will do, though, is force him to spend a bit more money to wrap things up. It will also send more money into Huckabee’s coffers. Every dollar McCain spends or Huckabee raises in response to a McCan loss tomorrow is money that should be spent in defeating Hillary or Obama this fall. The same is true for the time and effort of the staff and volunteers in both campaigns, as well as the many other, less tangible resources that go into a nationwide campaign.
Point two–A McCain loss will embarass the Washington State Republican Party
Particularly when McCain coasts to an easy victory in the primary on the 19th. It will demonstrate that the local party activists and caucus-goers are woefully out of touch with the Washington State Republicans who actually supply the votes. Remember those? They’re important. Now, it may be true that we activists are out of touch, and if it is, we need to figure out how we can rectify that situation. But personally, I’d rather it were not pointed out in such blatant fashion.
Because of the timing of our caucus and primary, and that of recent political events, we’re a party uniquely positioned to embarrass itself. That’s one opportunity I sincerely hope to avoid taking. Our party needs to gain influence over the voters of this state, both friendly and otherwise, and caucusing for Huckabee will diminish it, instead.
Point three–it will be good practice for November
For one brief, fleeting moment, let us face reality. If you want what’s best for the party, state and nation, you are going to be voting for John McCain this November. If you currently believe otherwise, you are being unreasonable. Hopefully, this is a passing thing, and if so, I entirely understand. If recent events have made you momentarily too furious at your situation to be reasonable, please check back once it has passed. If it is a more permanent unreasonableness, then please do join the Democrats, and they are welcome to you.
Regardless of what category you fall into (reasonable, temporarily unreasonable, or permanently so), tomorrow will be a good opportunity to see what it feels like to vote for John McCain. If you can do it without breaking into a cold sweat, passing out, or breaking into uncontrollable shrieking, then you’re doing well–otherwise, at least you got it out of your system. Perhaps your vote for him in the primary will only come with a little twitching and cursing. By November, you should be able pull the (sadly) metaphorical lever for McCain with only a nagging sense of ideological impurity at the back of your mind.
Alas, I can’t vote in the caucus tomorrow (though I already voted in the primary. But you probably can, and so I ask you to do what I would do. For the sake of your party, your state, your nation, and your own psychological health, vote for John McCain tomorrow. You don’t have to do it proudly (we’ll work up to that), but as long as you do it, we’ll be on our way to victory over whichever remarkably unqualified candidate the Dems decide to throw our way in November.
Cross posted at the Sound Politics Public Blog.